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By Maria Bartiromo |
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Mark Mobius on the
outlook for emerging markets |
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With
stratospheric growth in China and India, stocks in those
emerging markets have been sizzling since early in the
decade. The breakneck pace has slowed considerably this
year, however, and Bloomberg reported on July 22 that
China and India "are the worst performers among the
world's 20 largest stock markets." But as in all market
slowdowns, where some see disaster, others spy
opportunity. Templeton Asset Management's
emerging-market guru, Mark Mobius, is most certainly an
opportunity guy. Mobius is less than keen on India but
remains bullish on China - even though Templeton
Developing Markets fund, which posted a 28% return in
2007, is delivering a -16% return so dar this year. But
Mobius has 40 years' experience and $40 billion under
management, and his observations on international
conditions are not to be taken lightly. |
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MARIA
BARTIROMO |
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Tell me how
you're handling this market. |
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MARK
MOBIUS |
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For a
long-term investor, valuations are getting very
interesting, particularly in places like Turkey and
South Africa. Even in China, some stocks are getting
into enticing ranges. The only worry I have is that
investors will get cold feet and begin to pull out. if
that happens, then it will be difficult for us to take
advantage of these opportunities. |
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MARIA
BARTIROMO |
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Year to
date, Templeton Developing Markets fund is down 16%,
trailling some 94% of emerging-market funds. Part of the
reason seems to be that big bets on China and Turkey
have hurt the fund. But you plan is to hang tough in
those markets? |
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MARK
MOBIUS |
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Investor
confidence in Turkey has suffered recently due to
political uncertainty, despite higher-than-expected GDP
growth. Nevertheless, we know that there is still a lot
of long-term value in Turkey. Most important is the
excellent managerial talent there. As for China, it
remains the world's fastest-growing major economy. It is
gradually being transformed from an export-oriented
economy. Going forward, the domestic Chinese consumer
will be the driving force behind the economy just like
the consumer is the U.S. |
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For Further
Information, please buy a copy of Businessweek,
August 4, 2008 Issue @ myNEWS.com
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